Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

CollegeNFL
2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
20–5
Open tickets
23
This weekAFCNFC
Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15Week 16Week 17Week 18

2026 · Week 6 · 8 games shown · 2 ATS tickets · fetched 4:09:33 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Thu, Oct 15 · 7:15pm CT · Denver, CO · Prime Video7:15pm CT
SEA
Seattle · NFC West · 2-0
-1.5
-130
DEN
Denver · AFC West · 1-1 · H
+1.5
+110
No bet / too close
Model +0.7 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -3.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Oct 18 · 12:00pm CT · Atlanta, GA · FOX12:00pm CT
CHI
Chicago · NFC North · 1-1
-3
-155
ATL
Atlanta · NFC South · 0-2 · H
+3
+130
No bet / too close
Model +2.3 vs market +3 (home).
ML: CHI -155 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Oct 18 · 12:00pm CT · East Rutherford, NJ · FOX12:00pm CT
NO
New Orleans · NFC South · 1-1
+2.5
+120
NYG
New York · NFC East · 1-1 · H
-2.5
-142
ATS NO +2.5
Model +3.6 vs Vegas -2.5 home.
ML: NO +120 · Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 6.1 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge6.1 ptsLeanESPN FPI
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Sun, Oct 18 · 12:00pm CT · Philadelphia, PA · CBS12:00pm CT
CAR
Carolina · NFC South · 1-1
+6.5
+225
PHI
Philadelphia · NFC East · 2-0 · H
-6.5
-278
No bet / too close
Model -5.3 vs market -6.5 (home).
ML: PHI -278 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 18 · 12:00pm CT · Tampa, FL · CBS12:00pm CT
PIT
Pittsburgh · AFC North · 1-1
+1.5
+105
TB
Tampa Bay · NFC South · 0-2 · H
-1.5
-125
No bet / too close
Model -4.2 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: TB -125 · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Oct 18 · 3:05pm CT · Inglewood, CA · FOX3:05pm CT
ARI
Arizona · NFC West · 1-1
+13.5
+525
LAR
Los Angeles · NFC West · 1-1 · H
-13.5
-750
No bet / too close
Model -12.2 vs market -13.5 (home).
ML: LAR -750 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 9.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 18 · 7:20pm CT · Green Bay, WI · NBC7:20pm CT
DAL
Dallas · NFC East · 1-1
+3
+142
GB
Green Bay · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-3
-170
No bet / too close
Model +0.2 vs market -3 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Mon, Oct 19 · 7:15pm CT · Santa Clara, CA · ESPN7:15pm CT
WSH
Washington · NFC East · 0-2
+5.5
+205
SF
San Francisco · NFC West · 2-0 · H
-5.5
-250
ATS SF -5.5
Model -12.9 vs Vegas -5.5 home.
ML: SF -250 · Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 7.4 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 10.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge7.4 ptsPlayESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg