Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

CollegeNFL
2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
20–5
Open tickets
23
This weekAFCNFC
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2026 · Week 3 · 11 games shown · 0 ATS tickets · fetched 4:09:30 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Sun, Sep 27 · 12:00pm CT · Orchard Park, NY · FOX12:00pm CT
LAC
Los Angeles · AFC West · 0-2
+7
+275
BUF
Buffalo · AFC East · 2-0 · H
-7
-345
No bet / too close
Model -9.3 vs market -7 (home).
ML: BUF -345 · Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 6.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Sep 27 · 12:00pm CT · Cleveland, OH · FOX12:00pm CT
CAR
Carolina · NFC South · 1-1
-2.5
-148
CLE
Cleveland · AFC North · 1-1 · H
+2.5
+124
No bet / too close
Model +2.4 vs market +2.5 (home).
ML: CAR -148 · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.1 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Sep 27 · 12:00pm CT · Detroit, MI · FOX12:00pm CT
NYJ
New York · AFC East · 1-1
+6.5
+245
DET
Detroit · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-6.5
-305
No bet / too close
Model -8 vs market -6.5 (home).
ML: DET -305 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Sep 27 · 12:00pm CT · Indianapolis, IN · CBS12:00pm CT
HOU
Houston · AFC South · 0-2
-2.5
-142
IND
Indianapolis · AFC South · 0-2 · H
+2.5
+120
No bet / too close
Model -0.5 vs market +2.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Sep 27 · 12:00pm CT · Miami Gardens, FL · CBS12:00pm CT
KC
Kansas City · AFC West · 2-0
-10.5
-650
MIA
Miami · AFC East · 0-2 · H
+10.5
+470
No bet / too close
Model +10.1 vs market +10.5 (home).
ML: KC -650 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -12.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Sep 27 · 12:00pm CT · East Rutherford, NJ · CBS12:00pm CT
TEN
Tennessee · AFC South · 0-2
+3
+120
NYG
New York · NFC East · 1-1 · H
-3
-142
No bet / too close
Model -0.5 vs market -3 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 39.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Sep 27 · 12:00pm CT · Pittsburgh, PA · CBS12:00pm CT
CIN
Cincinnati · AFC North · 2-0
-3.5
-192
PIT
Pittsburgh · AFC North · 1-1 · H
+3.5
+160
No bet / too close
Model +2.1 vs market +3.5 (home).
ML: CIN -192 · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Sep 27 · 12:00pm CT · Jacksonville, FL · CBS12:00pm CT
NE
New England · AFC East · 1-1
+3
+130
JAX
Jacksonville · AFC South · 1-1 · H
-3
-155
No bet / too close
Model -3 vs market -3 (home).
ML: JAX -155 · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Sep 27 · 3:25pm CT · Rio De Janeiro · CBS · Neutral3:25pm CT
BAL
Baltimore · AFC North · 1-1
-3.5
-180
DAL
Dallas · NFC East · 1-1
+3.5
+150
No bet / too close
Model +1.1 vs market +3.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.1; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Sep 27 · 3:25pm CT · New Orleans, LA · CBS3:25pm CT
LV
Las Vegas · AFC West · 2-0
+3
+154
NO
New Orleans · NFC South · 1-1 · H
-3
-185
No bet / too close
Model -4.8 vs market -3 (home).
ML: NO -185 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Sep 27 · 7:20pm CT · Denver, CO · NBC7:20pm CT
LAR
Los Angeles · NFC West · 1-1
-2.5
-135
DEN
Denver · AFC West · 1-1 · H
+2.5
+114
No bet / too close
Model +2.6 vs market +2.5 (home).
ML: LAR -135 · Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.1 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg