Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

CollegeNFL
2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
20–5
Open tickets
23
This weekAFCNFC
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2026 · Week 10 · 8 games shown · 0 ATS tickets · fetched 4:09:45 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Thu, Nov 12 · 7:15pm CT · East Rutherford, NJ · Prime Video7:15pm CT
WSH
Washington · NFC East · 0-2
+1.5
+102
NYG
New York · NFC East · 1-1 · H
-1.5
-122
No bet / too close
Model +1 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -3.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Nov 15 · 8:30am CT · Munich · FOX · Neutral8:30am CT
NE
New England · AFC East · 1-1
+1.5
+105
DET
Detroit · NFC North · 1-1
-1.5
-125
No bet / too close
Model -0.3 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.3; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Nov 15 · 12:00pm CT · Atlanta, GA · CBS12:00pm CT
KC
Kansas City · AFC West · 2-0
-4.5
-205
ATL
Atlanta · NFC South · 0-2 · H
+4.5
+170
No bet / too close
Model +7.3 vs market +4.5 (home).
ML: KC -205 · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -9.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 15 · 12:00pm CT · Green Bay, WI · FOX12:00pm CT
MIN
Minnesota · NFC North · 2-0
+4.5
+200
GB
Green Bay · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-4.5
-245
No bet / too close
Model -1.5 vs market -4.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -0.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Nov 15 · 12:00pm CT · New Orleans, LA · FOX12:00pm CT
CAR
Carolina · NFC South · 1-1
+1.5
+100
NO
New Orleans · NFC South · 1-1 · H
-1.5
-120
No bet / too close
Model -3.2 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: NO -120 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 15 · 3:05pm CT · Las Vegas, NV · CBS3:05pm CT
SEA
Seattle · NFC West · 2-0
-7
-325
LV
Las Vegas · AFC West · 2-0 · H
+7
+260
No bet / too close
Model +3.4 vs market +7 (home).
ML: SEA -325 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -5.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 15 · 3:05pm CT · Glendale, AZ · CBS3:05pm CT
LAR
Los Angeles · NFC West · 1-1
-10.5
-470
ARI
Arizona · NFC West · 1-1 · H
+10.5
+360
No bet / too close
Model +7.4 vs market +10.5 (home).
ML: LAR -470 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -9.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.1 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 15 · 3:25pm CT · Arlington, TX · FOX3:25pm CT
SF
San Francisco · NFC West · 2-0
+1.5
+100
DAL
Dallas · NFC East · 1-1 · H
-1.5
-120
No bet / too close
Model +1.9 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.3; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive