Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
20–5
Open tickets
23
This weekAFCNFC
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2026 · Week 12 · 9 games shown · 2 ATS tickets · fetched 4:09:44 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Wed, Nov 25 · 7:00pm CT · Inglewood, CA · Netflix7:00pm CT
GB
Green Bay · NFC North · 1-1
+4.5
+185
LAR
Los Angeles · NFC West · 1-1 · H
-4.5
-225
No bet / too close
Model -6.6 vs market -4.5 (home).
ML: LAR -225 · Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 4.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.1 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Thu, Nov 26 · 12:00pm CT · Detroit, MI · CBS12:00pm CT
CHI
Chicago · NFC North · 1-1
+2.5
+120
DET
Detroit · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-2.5
-142
No bet / too close
Model -5.3 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: DET -142 · Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Thu, Nov 26 · 3:30pm CT · Arlington, TX · FOX3:30pm CT
PHI
Philadelphia · NFC East · 2-0
+1.5
+105
DAL
Dallas · NFC East · 1-1 · H
-1.5
-125
No bet / too close
Model -4 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: DAL -125 · Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 29 · 12:00pm CT · Cincinnati, OH · CBS12:00pm CT
NO
New Orleans · NFC South · 1-1
+6.5
+230
CIN
Cincinnati · AFC North · 2-0 · H
-6.5
-285
No bet / too close
Model -4.6 vs market -6.5 (home).
ML: CIN -285 · Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.9 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 29 · 12:00pm CT · Indianapolis, IN · FOX12:00pm CT
NYG
New York · NFC East · 1-1
+2.5
+114
IND
Indianapolis · AFC South · 0-2 · H
-2.5
-135
ATS IND -2.5
Model -7.9 vs Vegas -2.5 home.
ML: IND -135 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 5.4 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 5.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge5.4 ptsLeanESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 29 · 12:00pm CT · Minneapolis, MN · FOX12:00pm CT
ATL
Atlanta · NFC South · 0-2
+4.5
+180
MIN
Minnesota · NFC North · 2-0 · H
-4.5
-218
No bet / too close
Model -9.1 vs market -4.5 (home).
ML: MIN -218 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 6.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 29 · 3:25pm CT · Glendale, AZ · FOX3:25pm CT
WSH
Washington · NFC East · 0-2
-4.5
-218
ARI
Arizona · NFC West · 1-1 · H
+4.5
+180
No bet / too close
Model -0.4 vs market +4.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.9 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Nov 29 · 3:25pm CT · Santa Clara, CA · FOX3:25pm CT
SEA
Seattle · NFC West · 2-0
-1.5
-110
SF
San Francisco · NFC West · 2-0 · H
+1.5
-110
ATS SF +1.5
Model -6.9 vs Vegas +1.5 home.
ML: SF -110 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 8.4 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 4.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge8.4 ptsStrongESPN FPI
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Mon, Nov 30 · 7:15pm CT · Tampa, FL · ESPN7:15pm CT
CAR
Carolina · NFC South · 1-1
+3.5
+164
TB
Tampa Bay · NFC South · 0-2 · H
-3.5
-198
No bet / too close
Model -2.7 vs market -3.5 (home).
ML: TB -198 · Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.3; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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