Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
20–5
Open tickets
23
This weekAFCNFC
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2026 · Week 5 · 9 games shown · 1 ATS tickets · fetched 4:09:32 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Thu, Oct 8 · 7:15pm CT · Arlington, TX · Prime Video7:15pm CT
TB
Tampa Bay · NFC South · 0-2
+3.5
+170
DAL
Dallas · NFC East · 1-1 · H
-3.5
-205
No bet / too close
Model -6.5 vs market -3.5 (home).
ML: DAL -205 · Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 4.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Oct 11 · 8:30am CT · London · NFL Net · Neutral8:30am CT
PHI
Philadelphia · NFC East · 2-0
-1.5
-125
JAX
Jacksonville · AFC South · 1-1
+1.5
+105
No bet / too close
Model -1.1 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.1; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Oct 11 · 12:00pm CT · New Orleans, LA · FOX12:00pm CT
MIN
Minnesota · NFC North · 2-0
-1.5
-125
NO
New Orleans · NFC South · 1-1 · H
+1.5
+105
No bet / too close
Model -0.3 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Oct 11 · 12:00pm CT · Landover, MD · FOX12:00pm CT
NYG
New York · NFC East · 1-1
+2.5
+110
WSH
Washington · NFC East · 0-2 · H
-2.5
-130
No bet / too close
Model -5.8 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: WSH -130 · Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 3.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 11 · 3:25pm CT · Green Bay, WI · FOX3:25pm CT
CHI
Chicago · NFC North · 1-1
+3
+140
GB
Green Bay · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-3
-166
No bet / too close
Model -3.5 vs market -3 (home).
ML: GB -166 · Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 11 · 3:25pm CT · Glendale, AZ · FOX3:25pm CT
DET
Detroit · NFC North · 1-1
-8.5
-395
ARI
Arizona · NFC West · 1-1 · H
+8.5
+310
No bet / too close
Model +5 vs market +8.5 (home).
ML: DET -395 · Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -7.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 11 · 3:25pm CT · Seattle, WA · FOX3:25pm CT
SF
San Francisco · NFC West · 2-0
+3.5
+170
SEA
Seattle · NFC West · 2-0 · H
-3.5
-205
ATS SF +3.5
Model +2.1 vs Vegas -3.5 home.
ML: SF +170 · Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 5.6 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -4.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge5.6 ptsLeanESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 11 · 7:20pm CT · Atlanta, GA · NBC7:20pm CT
BAL
Baltimore · AFC North · 1-1
-4.5
-198
ATL
Atlanta · NFC South · 0-2 · H
+4.5
+164
No bet / too close
Model +6.9 vs market +4.5 (home).
ML: BAL -198 · Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -9.3; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Mon, Oct 12 · 7:15pm CT · Inglewood, CA · ESPN7:15pm CT
BUF
Buffalo · AFC East · 2-0
+3
+142
LAR
Los Angeles · NFC West · 1-1 · H
-3
-170
No bet / too close
Model -1.4 vs market -3 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive