Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

CollegeNFL
2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
20–5
Open tickets
23
This weekAFCNFC
Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15Week 16Week 17Week 18

2026 · Week 11 · 13 games shown · 2 ATS tickets · fetched 3:10:58 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Thu, Nov 19 · 7:15pm CT · Houston, TX · Prime Video7:15pm CT
IND
Indianapolis · AFC South · 0-2
+5.5
+195
HOU
Houston · AFC South · 0-2 · H
-5.5
-238
No bet / too close
Model -4.3 vs market -5.5 (home).
ML: HOU -238 · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 22 · 12:00pm CT · Orchard Park, NY · FOX12:00pm CT
MIA
Miami · AFC East · 0-2
+11.5
+455
BUF
Buffalo · AFC East · 2-0 · H
-11.5
-625
No bet / too close
Model -16.1 vs market -11.5 (home).
ML: BUF -625 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 13.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 22 · 12:00pm CT · Chicago, IL · FOX12:00pm CT
NO
New Orleans · NFC South · 1-1
+6.5
+230
CHI
Chicago · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-6.5
-285
No bet / too close
Model -2.5 vs market -6.5 (home).
ML: CHI -285 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 22 · 12:00pm CT · Arlington, TX · FOX12:00pm CT
TEN
Tennessee · AFC South · 0-2
+6.5
+235
DAL
Dallas · NFC East · 1-1 · H
-6.5
-290
No bet / too close
Model -10.2 vs market -6.5 (home).
ML: DAL -290 · Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 7.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 22 · 12:00pm CT · Detroit, MI · CBS12:00pm CT
TB
Tampa Bay · NFC South · 0-2
+4.5
+185
DET
Detroit · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-4.5
-225
No bet / too close
Model -5.8 vs market -4.5 (home).
ML: DET -225 · Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 3.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 22 · 12:00pm CT · Kansas City, MO · CBS12:00pm CT
ARI
Arizona · NFC West · 1-1
+11.5
+440
KC
Kansas City · AFC West · 2-0 · H
-11.5
-600
No bet / too close
Model -12 vs market -11.5 (home).
ML: KC -600 · Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 9.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 22 · 12:00pm CT · East Rutherford, NJ · CBS12:00pm CT
JAX
Jacksonville · AFC South · 1-1
-1.5
-125
NYG
New York · NFC East · 1-1 · H
+1.5
+105
ATS JAX -1.5
Model +6.8 vs Vegas +1.5 home.
ML: JAX -125 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 5.3 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -9.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge5.3 ptsLeanESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 22 · 12:00pm CT · Charlotte, NC · FOX12:00pm CT
BAL
Baltimore · AFC North · 1-1
-4.5
-218
CAR
Carolina · NFC South · 1-1 · H
+4.5
+180
No bet / too close
Model +3.1 vs market +4.5 (home).
ML: BAL -218 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -5.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 22 · 3:05pm CT · Inglewood, CA · FOX3:05pm CT
NYJ
New York · AFC East · 1-1
+9.5
+330
LAC
Los Angeles · AFC West · 0-2 · H
-9.5
-425
ATS NYJ +9.5
Model -4.4 vs Vegas -9.5 home.
ML: LAC -425 · Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 5.1 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge5.1 ptsLeanESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 22 · 3:25pm CT · Denver, CO · CBS3:25pm CT
LV
Las Vegas · AFC West · 2-0
+7.5
+270
DEN
Denver · AFC West · 1-1 · H
-7.5
-340
No bet / too close
Model -5.1 vs market -7.5 (home).
ML: DEN -340 · Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 22 · 3:25pm CT · Philadelphia, PA · CBS3:25pm CT
PIT
Pittsburgh · AFC North · 1-1
+5.5
+195
PHI
Philadelphia · NFC East · 2-0 · H
-5.5
-238
No bet / too close
Model -6.7 vs market -5.5 (home).
ML: PHI -238 · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 4.3; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 22 · 7:20pm CT · Mexico City · NBC · Neutral7:20pm CT
MIN
Minnesota · NFC North · 2-0
+3.5
+160
SF
San Francisco · NFC West · 2-0
-3.5
-192
No bet / too close
Model -5.9 vs market -3.5 (home).
ML: SF -192 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5.9; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Mon, Nov 23 · 7:15pm CT · Landover, MD · ESPN7:15pm CT
CIN
Cincinnati · AFC North · 2-0
-1.5
-125
WSH
Washington · NFC East · 0-2 · H
+1.5
+105
No bet / too close
Model +2.4 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: CIN -125 · Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.9 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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