Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
8–3
Open tickets
19
This weekAFCNFC
Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15Week 16Week 17Week 18

2026 · Week 14 · 15 games shown · 2 ATS tickets · fetched 3:10:58 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Thu, Dec 10 · 7:15pm CT · Foxborough, MA · Prime Video7:15pm CT
MIN
Minnesota · NFC North · 2-0
+4.5
+180
NE
New England · AFC East · 1-1 · H
-4.5
-218
No bet / too close
Model -3 vs market -4.5 (home).
ML: NE -218 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Dec 13 · 12:00pm CT · Cleveland, OH · CBS12:00pm CT
ATL
Atlanta · NFC South · 0-2
+1.5
+105
CLE
Cleveland · AFC North · 1-1 · H
-1.5
-125
No bet / too close
Model -1.4 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 40.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.1 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Dec 13 · 12:00pm CT · Detroit, MI · FOX12:00pm CT
TEN
Tennessee · AFC South · 0-2
+7.5
+285
DET
Detroit · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-7.5
-360
No bet / too close
Model -9.4 vs market -7.5 (home).
ML: DET -360 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.9 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Dec 13 · 12:00pm CT · Miami Gardens, FL · CBS12:00pm CT
CHI
Chicago · NFC North · 1-1
-5.5
-250
MIA
Miami · AFC East · 0-2 · H
+5.5
+205
No bet / too close
Model +5.1 vs market +5.5 (home).
ML: CHI -250 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -7.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Dec 13 · 12:00pm CT · East Rutherford, NJ · CBS12:00pm CT
DEN
Denver · AFC West · 1-1
-5.5
-230
NYJ
New York · AFC East · 1-1 · H
+5.5
+190
No bet / too close
Model +0.6 vs market +5.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 39.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -3; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.9 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Dec 13 · 12:00pm CT · Philadelphia, PA · FOX12:00pm CT
IND
Indianapolis · AFC South · 0-2
+5.5
+205
PHI
Philadelphia · NFC East · 2-0 · H
-5.5
-250
No bet / too close
Model -5 vs market -5.5 (home).
ML: PHI -250 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Dec 13 · 12:00pm CT · Landover, MD · CBS12:00pm CT
HOU
Houston · AFC South · 0-2
-1.5
-122
WSH
Washington · NFC East · 0-2 · H
+1.5
+102
No bet / too close
Model +1.7 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Dec 13 · 12:00pm CT · Charlotte, NC · CBS12:00pm CT
NO
New Orleans · NFC South · 1-1
+2.5
+114
CAR
Carolina · NFC South · 1-1 · H
-2.5
-135
No bet / too close
Model -1.6 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -0.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.9 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Dec 13 · 12:00pm CT · Baltimore, MD · FOX12:00pm CT
TB
Tampa Bay · NFC South · 0-2
+6
+210
BAL
Baltimore · AFC North · 1-1 · H
-6
-258
No bet / too close
Model -7.6 vs market -6 (home).
ML: BAL -258 · Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Dec 13 · 3:05pm CT · Las Vegas, NV · CBS3:05pm CT
LAC
Los Angeles · AFC West · 0-2
-5.5
-225
LV
Las Vegas · AFC West · 2-0 · H
+5.5
+185
ATS LV +5.5
Model -0.7 vs Vegas +5.5 home.
ML: no bet · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 6.2 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -1.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge6.2 ptsLeanESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Dec 13 · 3:25pm CT · Cincinnati, OH · FOX3:25pm CT
KC
Kansas City · AFC West · 2-0
+1.5
+105
CIN
Cincinnati · AFC North · 2-0 · H
-1.5
-125
No bet / too close
Model +0.4 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.9 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Dec 13 · 3:25pm CT · Santa Clara, CA · FOX3:25pm CT
LAR
Los Angeles · NFC West · 1-1
-1.5
-130
SF
San Francisco · NFC West · 2-0 · H
+1.5
+110
ATS SF +1.5
Model -5.1 vs Vegas +1.5 home.
ML: SF +110 · Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 6.6 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 2.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge6.6 ptsPlayESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Dec 13 · 3:25pm CT · Seattle, WA · FOX3:25pm CT
NYG
New York · NFC East · 1-1
+7.5
+295
SEA
Seattle · NFC West · 2-0 · H
-7.5
-375
No bet / too close
Model -11.8 vs market -7.5 (home).
ML: SEA -375 · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 9.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Dec 13 · 7:20pm CT · Green Bay, WI · NBC7:20pm CT
BUF
Buffalo · AFC East · 2-0
+1.5
+105
GB
Green Bay · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-1.5
-125
No bet / too close
Model +2.8 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: BUF +105 · Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -5.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Mon, Dec 14 · 7:15pm CT · Jacksonville, FL · ESPN7:15pm CT
PIT
Pittsburgh · AFC North · 1-1
+3
+136
JAX
Jacksonville · AFC South · 1-1 · H
-3
-162
No bet / too close
Model -7.8 vs market -3 (home).
ML: JAX -162 · Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.9 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg