Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
20–5
Open tickets
23
This weekAFCNFC
Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15Week 16Week 17Week 18

2026 · Week 5 · 9 games shown · 0 ATS tickets · fetched 4:09:31 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Sun, Oct 11 · 8:30am CT · London · NFL Net · Neutral8:30am CT
PHI
Philadelphia · NFC East · 2-0
-1.5
-125
JAX
Jacksonville · AFC South · 1-1
+1.5
+105
No bet / too close
Model -1.1 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.1; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Oct 11 · 12:00pm CT · Nashville, TN · CBS12:00pm CT
HOU
Houston · AFC South · 0-2
-3.5
-185
TEN
Tennessee · AFC South · 0-2 · H
+3.5
+154
No bet / too close
Model +3.2 vs market +3.5 (home).
ML: HOU -185 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -5.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 11 · 12:00pm CT · Miami Gardens, FL · FOX12:00pm CT
CIN
Cincinnati · AFC North · 2-0
-6
-270
MIA
Miami · AFC East · 0-2 · H
+6
+220
No bet / too close
Model +7.3 vs market +6 (home).
ML: CIN -270 · Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -9.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 11 · 12:00pm CT · Foxborough, MA · CBS12:00pm CT
LV
Las Vegas · AFC West · 2-0
+8.5
+310
NE
New England · AFC East · 1-1 · H
-8.5
-395
No bet / too close
Model -7.4 vs market -8.5 (home).
ML: NE -395 · Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.1 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 11 · 12:00pm CT · East Rutherford, NJ · CBS12:00pm CT
CLE
Cleveland · AFC North · 1-1
+1.5
+110
NYJ
New York · AFC East · 1-1 · H
-1.5
-130
No bet / too close
Model -5.4 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: NYJ -130 · Total 39.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 3; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.9 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 11 · 12:00pm CT · Pittsburgh, PA · CBS12:00pm CT
IND
Indianapolis · AFC South · 0-2
+2.5
+120
PIT
Pittsburgh · AFC North · 1-1 · H
-2.5
-142
No bet / too close
Model -0.6 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.9 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Oct 11 · 3:05pm CT · Inglewood, CA · CBS3:05pm CT
DEN
Denver · AFC West · 1-1
+2.5
+120
LAC
Los Angeles · AFC West · 0-2 · H
-2.5
-142
No bet / too close
Model -1.4 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.1 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Oct 11 · 7:20pm CT · Atlanta, GA · NBC7:20pm CT
BAL
Baltimore · AFC North · 1-1
-4.5
-198
ATL
Atlanta · NFC South · 0-2 · H
+4.5
+164
No bet / too close
Model +6.9 vs market +4.5 (home).
ML: BAL -198 · Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -9.3; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Mon, Oct 12 · 7:15pm CT · Inglewood, CA · ESPN7:15pm CT
BUF
Buffalo · AFC East · 2-0
+3
+142
LAR
Los Angeles · NFC West · 1-1 · H
-3
-170
No bet / too close
Model -1.4 vs market -3 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive