Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
20–5
Open tickets
23
This weekAFCNFC
Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15Week 16Week 17Week 18

2026 · Week 7 · 10 games shown · 1 ATS tickets · fetched 4:09:31 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Thu, Oct 22 · 7:15pm CT · Chicago, IL · Prime Video7:15pm CT
NE
New England · AFC East · 1-1
+1.5
+102
CHI
Chicago · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-1.5
-122
No bet / too close
Model +0.2 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Oct 25 · 8:30am CT · Saint-Denis · NFL Net · Neutral8:30am CT
PIT
Pittsburgh · AFC North · 1-1
-2.5
-142
NO
New Orleans · NFC South · 1-1
+2.5
+120
No bet / too close
Model -2.2 vs market +2.5 (home).
ML: NO +120 · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.2; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 25 · 12:00pm CT · Nashville, TN · CBS12:00pm CT
CLE
Cleveland · AFC North · 1-1
+2.5
+114
TEN
Tennessee · AFC South · 0-2 · H
-2.5
-135
No bet / too close
Model -3.9 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: TEN -135 · Total 40.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 25 · 12:00pm CT · Minneapolis, MN · CBS12:00pm CT
IND
Indianapolis · AFC South · 0-2
+2.5
+120
MIN
Minnesota · NFC North · 2-0 · H
-2.5
-142
No bet / too close
Model -4.9 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: MIN -142 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 25 · 12:00pm CT · East Rutherford, NJ · CBS12:00pm CT
MIA
Miami · AFC East · 0-2
+2.5
+120
NYJ
New York · AFC East · 1-1 · H
-2.5
-142
No bet / too close
Model -7.2 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: NYJ -142 · Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 4.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 25 · 12:00pm CT · Baltimore, MD · CBS12:00pm CT
CIN
Cincinnati · AFC North · 2-0
+3.5
+154
BAL
Baltimore · AFC North · 1-1 · H
-3.5
-185
No bet / too close
Model -4.9 vs market -3.5 (home).
ML: BAL -185 · Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 25 · 12:00pm CT · Houston, TX · FOX12:00pm CT
NYG
New York · NFC East · 1-1
+5.5
+195
HOU
Houston · AFC South · 0-2 · H
-5.5
-238
No bet / too close
Model -9.9 vs market -5.5 (home).
ML: HOU -238 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 7.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 25 · 3:05pm CT · Glendale, AZ · CBS3:05pm CT
DEN
Denver · AFC West · 1-1
-7.5
-375
ARI
Arizona · NFC West · 1-1 · H
+7.5
+295
ATS ARI +7.5
Model +2.4 vs Vegas +7.5 home.
ML: DEN -375 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 5.1 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -4.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge5.1 ptsLeanESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 25 · 3:25pm CT · Las Vegas, NV · FOX3:25pm CT
LAR
Los Angeles · NFC West · 1-1
-7.5
-345
LV
Las Vegas · AFC West · 2-0 · H
+7.5
+275
No bet / too close
Model +5.3 vs market +7.5 (home).
ML: LAR -345 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -7.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 25 · 7:20pm CT · Seattle, WA · NBC7:20pm CT
KC
Kansas City · AFC West · 2-0
+3
+142
SEA
Seattle · NFC West · 2-0 · H
-3
-170
No bet / too close
Model -0.8 vs market -3 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive