Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

CollegeNFL
2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
20–5
Open tickets
23
This weekAFCNFC
Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15Week 16Week 17Week 18

2026 · Week 9 · 11 games shown · 0 ATS tickets · fetched 4:09:32 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Thu, Nov 5 · 7:15pm CT · Baltimore, MD · Prime Video7:15pm CT
JAX
Jacksonville · AFC South · 1-1
+4.5
+170
BAL
Baltimore · AFC North · 1-1 · H
-4.5
-205
No bet / too close
Model -3.9 vs market -4.5 (home).
ML: BAL -205 · Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 8 · 8:30am CT · Madrid · NFL Net · Neutral8:30am CT
CIN
Cincinnati · AFC North · 2-0
-5.5
-230
ATL
Atlanta · NFC South · 0-2
+5.5
+190
No bet / too close
Model +6.9 vs market +5.5 (home).
ML: CIN -230 · Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -6.9; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 8 · 12:00pm CT · Indianapolis, IN · FOX12:00pm CT
DAL
Dallas · NFC East · 1-1
-1.5
-125
IND
Indianapolis · AFC South · 0-2 · H
+1.5
+105
No bet / too close
Model +1.7 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Nov 8 · 12:00pm CT · Kansas City, MO · CBS12:00pm CT
NYJ
New York · AFC East · 1-1
+9.5
+340
KC
Kansas City · AFC West · 2-0 · H
-9.5
-395
No bet / too close
Model -10.1 vs market -9.5 (home).
ML: KC -395 · Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 7.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 8 · 12:00pm CT · Miami Gardens, FL · FOX12:00pm CT
DET
Detroit · NFC North · 1-1
-6.5
-278
MIA
Miami · AFC East · 0-2 · H
+6.5
+225
No bet / too close
Model +8 vs market +6.5 (home).
ML: DET -278 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -10.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 8 · 12:00pm CT · New Orleans, LA · CBS12:00pm CT
CLE
Cleveland · AFC North · 1-1
+3.5
+160
NO
New Orleans · NFC South · 1-1 · H
-3.5
-192
No bet / too close
Model -8 vs market -3.5 (home).
ML: NO -192 · Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 8 · 12:00pm CT · Charlotte, NC · CBS12:00pm CT
DEN
Denver · AFC West · 1-1
-3
-162
CAR
Carolina · NFC South · 1-1 · H
+3
+136
No bet / too close
Model -1.3 vs market +3 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Nov 8 · 3:05pm CT · Inglewood, CA · CBS3:05pm CT
HOU
Houston · AFC South · 0-2
+2.5
+114
LAC
Los Angeles · AFC West · 0-2 · H
-2.5
-135
No bet / too close
Model -0.2 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Nov 8 · 3:05pm CT · Santa Clara, CA · CBS3:05pm CT
LV
Las Vegas · AFC West · 2-0
+8.5
+330
SF
San Francisco · NFC West · 2-0 · H
-8.5
-425
No bet / too close
Model -12.7 vs market -8.5 (home).
ML: SF -425 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 10.3; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 8 · 3:25pm CT · Foxborough, MA · FOX3:25pm CT
GB
Green Bay · NFC North · 1-1
+1.5
+105
NE
New England · AFC East · 1-1 · H
-1.5
-125
No bet / too close
Model -3.9 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: NE -125 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Mon, Nov 9 · 7:15pm CT · Minneapolis, MN · ESPN7:15pm CT
BUF
Buffalo · AFC East · 2-0
-3
-175
MIN
Minnesota · NFC North · 2-0 · H
+3
+145
No bet / too close
Model +1.8 vs market +3 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive