2026 · Week 16 · 10 games shown · 1 ATS tickets · fetched 4:09:34 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI
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Thu, Dec 24 · 7:15pm CT · Philadelphia, PA · Prime Video7:15pm CT
HOU
Houston · AFC South · 0-2
+2.5
+114
PHI
Philadelphia · NFC East · 2-0 · H
-2.5
-135
No bet / too closeModel -3 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: PHI -135 · Total 37.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a legFri, Dec 25 · 12:00pm CT · Chicago, IL · Netflix12:00pm CT
GB
Green Bay · NFC North · 1-1
+1.5
-102
CHI
Chicago · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-1.5
-118
No bet / too closeModel -1.3 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveFri, Dec 25 · 7:15pm CT · Seattle, WA · FOX7:15pm CT
LAR
Los Angeles · NFC West · 1-1
+1.5
+110
SEA
Seattle · NFC West · 2-0 · H
-1.5
-130
No bet / too closeModel -0.5 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveSat, Dec 26 · 11:00pm CT · Atlanta, GA11:00pm CT
TB
Tampa Bay · NFC South · 0-2
-1.5
-125
ATL
Atlanta · NFC South · 0-2 · H
+1.5
+105
No bet / too closeModel +1.7 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveSat, Dec 26 · 11:00pm CT · Minneapolis, MN11:00pm CT
WSH
Washington · NFC East · 0-2
+2.5
+114
MIN
Minnesota · NFC North · 2-0 · H
-2.5
-135
No bet / too closeModel -7 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: MIN -135 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 4.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a legSat, Dec 26 · 11:00pm CT · Pittsburgh, PA11:00pm CT
CAR
Carolina · NFC South · 1-1
+3.5
+160
PIT
Pittsburgh · AFC North · 1-1 · H
-3.5
-192
No bet / too closeModel -1 vs market -3.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveSun, Dec 27 · 12:00pm CT · New Orleans, LA · FOX12:00pm CT
ARI
Arizona · NFC West · 1-1
+5.5
+200
NO
New Orleans · NFC South · 1-1 · H
-5.5
-245
No bet / too closeModel -6.9 vs market -5.5 (home).
ML: NO -245 · Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 4.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a legSun, Dec 27 · 3:25pm CT · Kansas City, MO · CBS3:25pm CT
SF
San Francisco · NFC West · 2-0
+3
+130
KC
Kansas City · AFC West · 2-0 · H
-3
-155
No bet / too closeModel +0.5 vs market -3 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveSun, Dec 27 · 7:20pm CT · Arlington, TX · NBC7:20pm CT
JAX
Jacksonville · AFC South · 1-1
+3
+136
DAL
Dallas · NFC East · 1-1 · H
-3
-162
No bet / too closeModel -2.8 vs market -3 (home).
ML: DAL -162 · Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a legMon, Dec 28 · 7:15pm CT · Detroit, MI · ESPN7:15pm CT
NYG
New York · NFC East · 1-1
+4.5
+170
DET
Detroit · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-4.5
-205
ATS DET -4.5Model -11.3 vs Vegas -4.5 home.
ML: DET -205 · Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 6.8 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 8.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge6.8 ptsPlayESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg