Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
20–5
Open tickets
23
This weekAFCNFC
Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15Week 16Week 17Week 18

2026 · Week 16 · 10 games shown · 1 ATS tickets · fetched 4:09:34 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Thu, Dec 24 · 7:15pm CT · Philadelphia, PA · Prime Video7:15pm CT
HOU
Houston · AFC South · 0-2
+2.5
+114
PHI
Philadelphia · NFC East · 2-0 · H
-2.5
-135
No bet / too close
Model -3 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: PHI -135 · Total 37.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Fri, Dec 25 · 12:00pm CT · Chicago, IL · Netflix12:00pm CT
GB
Green Bay · NFC North · 1-1
+1.5
-102
CHI
Chicago · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-1.5
-118
No bet / too close
Model -1.3 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Fri, Dec 25 · 7:15pm CT · Seattle, WA · FOX7:15pm CT
LAR
Los Angeles · NFC West · 1-1
+1.5
+110
SEA
Seattle · NFC West · 2-0 · H
-1.5
-130
No bet / too close
Model -0.5 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sat, Dec 26 · 11:00pm CT · Atlanta, GA11:00pm CT
TB
Tampa Bay · NFC South · 0-2
-1.5
-125
ATL
Atlanta · NFC South · 0-2 · H
+1.5
+105
No bet / too close
Model +1.7 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sat, Dec 26 · 11:00pm CT · Minneapolis, MN11:00pm CT
WSH
Washington · NFC East · 0-2
+2.5
+114
MIN
Minnesota · NFC North · 2-0 · H
-2.5
-135
No bet / too close
Model -7 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: MIN -135 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 4.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sat, Dec 26 · 11:00pm CT · Pittsburgh, PA11:00pm CT
CAR
Carolina · NFC South · 1-1
+3.5
+160
PIT
Pittsburgh · AFC North · 1-1 · H
-3.5
-192
No bet / too close
Model -1 vs market -3.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Dec 27 · 12:00pm CT · New Orleans, LA · FOX12:00pm CT
ARI
Arizona · NFC West · 1-1
+5.5
+200
NO
New Orleans · NFC South · 1-1 · H
-5.5
-245
No bet / too close
Model -6.9 vs market -5.5 (home).
ML: NO -245 · Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 4.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Dec 27 · 3:25pm CT · Kansas City, MO · CBS3:25pm CT
SF
San Francisco · NFC West · 2-0
+3
+130
KC
Kansas City · AFC West · 2-0 · H
-3
-155
No bet / too close
Model +0.5 vs market -3 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Dec 27 · 7:20pm CT · Arlington, TX · NBC7:20pm CT
JAX
Jacksonville · AFC South · 1-1
+3
+136
DAL
Dallas · NFC East · 1-1 · H
-3
-162
No bet / too close
Model -2.8 vs market -3 (home).
ML: DAL -162 · Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Mon, Dec 28 · 7:15pm CT · Detroit, MI · ESPN7:15pm CT
NYG
New York · NFC East · 1-1
+4.5
+170
DET
Detroit · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-4.5
-205
ATS DET -4.5
Model -11.3 vs Vegas -4.5 home.
ML: DET -205 · Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 6.8 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 8.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge6.8 ptsPlayESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg