Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
20–5
Open tickets
23
This weekAFCNFC
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2026 · Week 9 · 12 games shown · 1 ATS tickets · fetched 4:09:32 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Sun, Nov 8 · 8:30am CT · Madrid · NFL Net · Neutral8:30am CT
CIN
Cincinnati · AFC North · 2-0
-5.5
-230
ATL
Atlanta · NFC South · 0-2
+5.5
+190
No bet / too close
Model +6.9 vs market +5.5 (home).
ML: CIN -230 · Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -6.9; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 8 · 12:00pm CT · Indianapolis, IN · FOX12:00pm CT
DAL
Dallas · NFC East · 1-1
-1.5
-125
IND
Indianapolis · AFC South · 0-2 · H
+1.5
+105
No bet / too close
Model +1.7 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Nov 8 · 12:00pm CT · Miami Gardens, FL · FOX12:00pm CT
DET
Detroit · NFC North · 1-1
-6.5
-278
MIA
Miami · AFC East · 0-2 · H
+6.5
+225
No bet / too close
Model +8 vs market +6.5 (home).
ML: DET -278 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.5 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -10.4; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.5 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 8 · 12:00pm CT · New Orleans, LA · CBS12:00pm CT
CLE
Cleveland · AFC North · 1-1
+3.5
+160
NO
New Orleans · NFC South · 1-1 · H
-3.5
-192
No bet / too close
Model -8 vs market -3.5 (home).
ML: NO -192 · Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sun, Nov 8 · 12:00pm CT · Philadelphia, PA · FOX12:00pm CT
NYG
New York · NFC East · 1-1
+5.5
+195
PHI
Philadelphia · NFC East · 2-0 · H
-5.5
-238
ATS PHI -5.5
Model -10.5 vs Vegas -5.5 home.
ML: PHI -238 · Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 5 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 8.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge5 ptsLeanESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 8 · 12:00pm CT · Landover, MD · FOX12:00pm CT
LAR
Los Angeles · NFC West · 1-1
-5.5
-225
WSH
Washington · NFC East · 0-2 · H
+5.5
+185
No bet / too close
Model +5.4 vs market +5.5 (home).
ML: LAR -225 · Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -7.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.1 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 8 · 12:00pm CT · Charlotte, NC · CBS12:00pm CT
DEN
Denver · AFC West · 1-1
-3
-162
CAR
Carolina · NFC South · 1-1 · H
+3
+136
No bet / too close
Model -1.3 vs market +3 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Nov 8 · 3:05pm CT · Santa Clara, CA · CBS3:05pm CT
LV
Las Vegas · AFC West · 2-0
+8.5
+330
SF
San Francisco · NFC West · 2-0 · H
-8.5
-425
No bet / too close
Model -12.7 vs market -8.5 (home).
ML: SF -425 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 10.3; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 8 · 3:25pm CT · Foxborough, MA · FOX3:25pm CT
GB
Green Bay · NFC North · 1-1
+1.5
+105
NE
New England · AFC East · 1-1 · H
-1.5
-125
No bet / too close
Model -3.9 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: NE -125 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 8 · 3:25pm CT · Seattle, WA · FOX3:25pm CT
ARI
Arizona · NFC West · 1-1
+13.5
+550
SEA
Seattle · NFC West · 2-0 · H
-13.5
-800
No bet / too close
Model -10.3 vs market -13.5 (home).
ML: SEA -800 · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 7.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Nov 8 · 7:20pm CT · Chicago, IL · NBC7:20pm CT
TB
Tampa Bay · NFC South · 0-2
+3.5
+164
CHI
Chicago · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-3.5
-198
No bet / too close
Model -2.9 vs market -3.5 (home).
ML: CHI -198 · Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 0.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge0.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Mon, Nov 9 · 7:15pm CT · Minneapolis, MN · ESPN7:15pm CT
BUF
Buffalo · AFC East · 2-0
-3
-175
MIN
Minnesota · NFC North · 2-0 · H
+3
+145
No bet / too close
Model +1.8 vs market +3 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -4.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive