Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
8–3
Open tickets
9
This weekAFCNFC
Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15Week 16Week 17Week 18

2026 · Week 18 · 16 games shown · 0 ATS tickets · fetched 3:10:56 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Orchard Park, NY11:00pm CT
NYJ
New York · AFC East · 1-1
+10
+360
BUF
Buffalo · AFC East · 2-0 · H
-10
-470
No bet / too close
Model -11.3 vs market -10 (home).
ML: BUF -470 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 8.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Cincinnati, OH11:00pm CT
CLE
Cleveland · AFC North · 1-1
+7.5
+280
CIN
Cincinnati · AFC North · 2-0 · H
-7.5
-355
No bet / too close
Model -10.3 vs market -7.5 (home).
ML: CIN -355 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 7.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Denver, CO11:00pm CT
LAC
Los Angeles · AFC West · 0-2
+1.5
+102
DEN
Denver · AFC West · 1-1 · H
-1.5
-122
No bet / too close
Model -3.4 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: DEN -122 · Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.9 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Green Bay, WI11:00pm CT
DET
Detroit · NFC North · 1-1
+2.5
+114
GB
Green Bay · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-2.5
-135
No bet / too close
Model -0.6 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.9 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Indianapolis, IN11:00pm CT
JAX
Jacksonville · AFC South · 1-1
+1.5
+102
IND
Indianapolis · AFC South · 0-2 · H
-1.5
-122
No bet / too close
Model +1.3 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.8 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -3.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.8 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Kansas City, MO11:00pm CT
LV
Las Vegas · AFC West · 2-0
+8.5
+300
KC
Kansas City · AFC West · 2-0 · H
-8.5
-380
No bet / too close
Model -9.9 vs market -8.5 (home).
ML: KC -380 · Total 40.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 7.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Inglewood, CA11:00pm CT
SEA
Seattle · NFC West · 2-0
+3
+136
LAR
Los Angeles · NFC West · 1-1 · H
-3
-162
No bet / too close
Model -4.3 vs market -3 (home).
ML: LAR -162 · Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.9; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Minneapolis, MN11:00pm CT
CHI
Chicago · NFC North · 1-1
+1.5
+105
MIN
Minnesota · NFC North · 2-0 · H
-1.5
-125
No bet / too close
Model -4.4 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: MIN -125 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.9 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Foxborough, MA11:00pm CT
MIA
Miami · AFC East · 0-2
+10.5
+425
NE
New England · AFC East · 1-1 · H
-10.5
-575
No bet / too close
Model -12.5 vs market -10.5 (home).
ML: NE -575 · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 10.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · New Orleans, LA11:00pm CT
TB
Tampa Bay · NFC South · 0-2
-1.5
-125
NO
New Orleans · NFC South · 1-1 · H
+1.5
+105
No bet / too close
Model -2.9 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: NO +105 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · East Rutherford, NJ11:00pm CT
PHI
Philadelphia · NFC East · 2-0
-3
-162
NYG
New York · NFC East · 1-1 · H
+3
+136
No bet / too close
Model +5.7 vs market +3 (home).
ML: PHI -162 · Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -8.1; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
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Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Glendale, AZ11:00pm CT
SF
San Francisco · NFC West · 2-0
-8.5
-410
ARI
Arizona · NFC West · 1-1 · H
+8.5
+320
No bet / too close
Model +10.1 vs market +8.5 (home).
ML: SF -410 · Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -12.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Landover, MD11:00pm CT
DAL
Dallas · NFC East · 1-1
-1.5
-122
WSH
Washington · NFC East · 0-2 · H
+1.5
+102
No bet / too close
Model +3.8 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: DAL -122 · Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.3 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -6.2; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.3 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Charlotte, NC11:00pm CT
ATL
Atlanta · NFC South · 0-2
+2.5
+114
CAR
Carolina · NFC South · 1-1 · H
-2.5
-135
No bet / too close
Model -6.2 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: CAR -135 · Total 41.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 3.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Baltimore, MD11:00pm CT
PIT
Pittsburgh · AFC North · 1-1
+5.5
+185
BAL
Baltimore · AFC North · 1-1 · H
-5.5
-225
No bet / too close
Model -9.3 vs market -5.5 (home).
ML: BAL -225 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.9 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.9 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sat, Jan 9 · 11:00pm CT · Houston, TX11:00pm CT
TEN
Tennessee · AFC South · 0-2
+7
+240
HOU
Houston · AFC South · 0-2 · H
-7
-298
No bet / too close
Model -8 vs market -7 (home).
ML: HOU -298 · Total 39.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 5.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg