Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Sunday Slate

NFL board for the Sunday slate. Same desk, tighter numbers. A public power rating versus the posted line — not a lock, and not a claim we beat the close.

2026 ATS
0–0
Moneyline
20–5
Open tickets
23
This weekAFCNFC
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2026 · Week 7 · 11 games shown · 2 ATS tickets · fetched 4:09:31 AM CT · ESPN NFL public scoreboard and FPI

nflverse enrichment is off. There is no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only. Run npm run nfl:refresh.

Thu, Oct 22 · 7:15pm CT · Chicago, IL · Prime Video7:15pm CT
NE
New England · AFC East · 1-1
+1.5
+102
CHI
Chicago · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-1.5
-122
No bet / too close
Model +0.2 vs market -1.5 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -2.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Sun, Oct 25 · 8:30am CT · Saint-Denis · NFL Net · Neutral8:30am CT
PIT
Pittsburgh · AFC North · 1-1
-2.5
-142
NO
New Orleans · NFC South · 1-1
+2.5
+120
No bet / too close
Model -2.2 vs market +2.5 (home).
ML: NO +120 · Total 42.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.2; neutral site (no home field)). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 25 · 12:00pm CT · Atlanta, GA · FOX12:00pm CT
SF
San Francisco · NFC West · 2-0
-4.5
-230
ATL
Atlanta · NFC South · 0-2 · H
+4.5
+190
ATS SF -4.5
Model +10.1 vs Vegas +4.5 home.
ML: SF -230 · Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 5.6 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -12.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge5.6 ptsLeanESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 25 · 12:00pm CT · Minneapolis, MN · CBS12:00pm CT
IND
Indianapolis · AFC South · 0-2
+2.5
+120
MIN
Minnesota · NFC North · 2-0 · H
-2.5
-142
No bet / too close
Model -4.9 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: MIN -142 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 25 · 12:00pm CT · Charlotte, NC · FOX12:00pm CT
TB
Tampa Bay · NFC South · 0-2
-1.5
-125
CAR
Carolina · NFC South · 1-1 · H
+1.5
+105
No bet / too close
Model -2 vs market +1.5 (home).
ML: CAR +105 · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 3.6 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -0.3; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge3.6 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 25 · 12:00pm CT · Houston, TX · FOX12:00pm CT
NYG
New York · NFC East · 1-1
+5.5
+195
HOU
Houston · AFC South · 0-2 · H
-5.5
-238
No bet / too close
Model -9.9 vs market -5.5 (home).
ML: HOU -238 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 4.4 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 7.5; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge4.4 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 25 · 3:05pm CT · Glendale, AZ · CBS3:05pm CT
DEN
Denver · AFC West · 1-1
-7.5
-375
ARI
Arizona · NFC West · 1-1 · H
+7.5
+295
ATS ARI +7.5
Model +2.4 vs Vegas +7.5 home.
ML: DEN -375 · Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 5.1 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -4.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge5.1 ptsLeanESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 25 · 3:25pm CT · Detroit, MI · FOX3:25pm CT
GB
Green Bay · NFC North · 1-1
+2.5
+120
DET
Detroit · NFC North · 1-1 · H
-2.5
-142
No bet / too close
Model -4.2 vs market -2.5 (home).
ML: DET -142 · Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 1.7 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 1.8; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge1.7 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 25 · 3:25pm CT · Las Vegas, NV · FOX3:25pm CT
LAR
Los Angeles · NFC West · 1-1
-7.5
-345
LV
Las Vegas · AFC West · 2-0 · H
+7.5
+275
No bet / too close
Model +5.3 vs market +7.5 (home).
ML: LAR -345 · Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -7.7; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep diveParlay deskAdd a leg
Sun, Oct 25 · 7:20pm CT · Seattle, WA · NBC7:20pm CT
KC
Kansas City · AFC West · 2-0
+3
+142
SEA
Seattle · NFC West · 2-0 · H
-3
-170
No bet / too close
Model -0.8 vs market -3 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive
Mon, Oct 26 · 7:15pm CT · Philadelphia, PA · ESPN7:15pm CT
DAL
Dallas · NFC East · 1-1
+3
+136
PHI
Philadelphia · NFC East · 2-0 · H
-3
-162
No bet / too close
Model -0.8 vs market -3 (home).
ML: no bet · Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Edge 2.2 pts — inside the 5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -1.6; home field +2.4). Fuel: ESPN FPI. nflverse enrichment is off.
Edge2.2 ptsNo ticketESPN FPI
DetailsDeep dive